Do the highest-conviction signals beat the market?
We are measuring it live. On September 25, 2026 we fixed the rule before seeing any result: every US Bounce signal published with a conviction of 86 or more, compared with the S&P 500 (dividends included) over the same days. All of them are listed here, including the ones that lose and the ones that were never filled.
Why this rule was registered
The highlighted band is the registered rule's. That threshold was chosen by looking at this same data, and a result chosen after the fact can be down to chance: that is why the test that counts is the scoreboard above, with the rule fixed before any result existed.
Before reading these figures
Gross figures, before tax, commissions and slippage. Past results, live or simulated, do not guarantee future results. The signals are non-personalised recommendations and do not constitute financial advice; any investment can lose value. The band history is a simulation over each index's current members, which favours it (survivorship bias).